CZ ON TIME?

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JUST WONDERING IF WE TAKE THE CALIFORNIA ZEPHYR TO EMERYVILLE IN SEPTEMBER AND HAVE RESERVED A HOTEL ROOM FOR 3 DAYS AND ARE SUPPOSED TO ARRIVE AT 5:00PM, WHAT ARE OUR CHANCES OF ARRIVING THAT EVENING ON TIME AND SHOULD I BE WORRIED ABOUT ARRIVING IN THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT OR EVEN THE NEXT MORNING AND LOSING OUR HOTEL ROOM? <_<
 
JUST WONDERING IF WE TAKE THE CALIFORNIA ZEPHYR TO EMERYVILLE IN SEPTEMBER AND HAVE RESERVED A HOTEL ROOM FOR 3 DAYS AND ARE SUPPOSED TO ARRIVE AT 5:00PM, WHAT ARE OUR CHANCES OF ARRIVING THAT EVENING ON TIME AND SHOULD I BE WORRIED ABOUT ARRIVING IN THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT OR EVEN THE NEXT MORNING AND LOSING OUR HOTEL ROOM? <_<
Typically, and absent some extraordinary problems enroute, the Zephyr arrives about 4 hours late, give or take an hour or so. That would get you in at about 9pm: in time for a late dinner and a peaceful night in a room that is not moving.
Odds of on-time: nil. Better chance of hitting the PowerBall.

Odds of no worse than 5 hours: pretty good.

Possibility of mega-late (after midnight): Possible but not probable.

By the way, anyone else find the Zephyr's scheduled Emeryville arrival time of 4:59pm kind of funny? Here is a train that is never on-time, is lucky to arrive within an hour or two of schedule, and they schedule the arrival for 4:59pm. Not 4:30. Not 5 o'clock. No, 4:59. Hilarious. Someone at Amtrak has a sense of humor.
 
2007-02-25: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 11:36 pm Delay: 407 minutes

2007-02-24: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 10:20 pm Delay: 331 minutes

2007-02-23: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 8:30 pm Delay: 221 minutes

2007-02-22: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 11:38 pm Delay: 409 minutes

2007-02-21: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 8:20 pm Delay: 211 minutes

2007-02-20: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 8:52 pm Delay: 243 minutes

2007-02-19: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 12:20 am Delay: 451 minutes

2007-02-18: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 10:37 pm Delay: 348 minutes

2007-02-17: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 8:25 pm Delay: 216 minutes

2007-02-16: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 9:43 pm Delay: 294 minutes

2007-02-15: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 9:24 pm Delay: 275 minutes

2007-02-14: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 8:55 pm Delay: 246 minutes

2007-02-13: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 8:15 pm Delay: 206 minutes

2007-02-12: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 10:44 pm Delay: 355 minutes

2007-02-11: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 2:27 am Delay: 578 minutes

2007-02-10: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 8:37 pm Delay: 228 minutes

2007-02-09: Scheduled: 4:49 pm Actual: 2:06 am Delay: 557 minutes

Average delay is 328 minutes
 
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